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Luxembourg vs. Estonia - First Team to Score
polymarket

What team will score first?

Oct 31, 2026, 6:00 AM EST - Nov 13, 2026, 2:45 PM EST
Total volume:
N/A
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$19
34%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Luxembourg

 - Polymarket

Luxembourg - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 10d:15h:45m

Luxembourg to score first vs. Estonia?

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 448% Low liquidity 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Luxembourg

Trade
48%
Yes 95¢No 99¢
94¢
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 15h
Active
polymarket

Estonia

48%
Yes 95¢No 99¢
94¢
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 15h
Active
polymarket

Neither

95%
2%
Yes 95¢No 52.5¢
—
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 15h
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Luxembourg and Estonia, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Luxembourg" if Luxembourg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Estonia" if Estonia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Neither". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Neither". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, including a result awarded that differs from the score as played, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Neither".

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Luxembourg and Estonia, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Luxembourg" if Luxembourg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Estonia" if Estonia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Neither". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Neither". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, including a result awarded that differs from the score as played, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Neither".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Luxembourg vs. Estonia match tracks the probabilities associated with either team scoring first. You’ll find a real-time display of the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on each outcome. The dashboard also shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $0. This provides a clear picture of market activity and how sentiment is shifting regarding which team is favored to break the deadlock.

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of each outcome, though discrepancies can still arise due to differing information or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially when a large number of participants contribute to the pricing.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Luxembourg or Estonia will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are correct. The current top outcome, Luxembourg to score first, has a chance percentage of 95.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Luxembourg vs. Estonia match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially verified and the market is settled on Polymarket.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either coach could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also play a role. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as a red card or an early penalty, would likely cause significant price movement in this market as traders react to the changing dynamics of the game.