TOTAL VOLUME:

$155.3b

24H VOL:

$358,270,487

24H TRANSACTIONS:

3,002,125,488

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,041,693,191

423,163

Markets across

39,982

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,387

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Luxembourg vs. Estonia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Luxembourg vs. Estonia?

Total volume:
$1
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$5,248
11%
Open interest:
$1
0%

Estonia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 09d:22h:40m

Estonia wins

80%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 21¢ buys you 476 shares | Odds: 80% Total Payout: $476 | Net Profit: $376 Multiplier: 4.76x | ROI: 376% APY not meaningful 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Estonia

Trade
80%
Yes 21¢No 89¢
10¢
N/A
$1
0%
N/A
$1
1w 2d 22h
Active
polymarket

Estonia

Trade
31%
11%
Yes 50¢No 89¢
39¢
$1,756
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
Yes 21¢No 89¢
Avg: 24.5¢Max: 39¢
kalshi

Luxembourg

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
Active
polymarket

Luxembourg

Trade
41%
Yes 62¢No 80¢
42¢
$2,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 23.5¢Max: 42¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Luxembourg vs. Estonia)

Trade
36%
10%
Yes 60¢No 88¢
48¢
$1,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 27¢Max: 48¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of the Luxembourg vs. Estonia UEFA Nations League soccer game scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets ask whether Luxembourg will win, Estonia will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes specific no-result provisions for cancellation or abandonment, while Kalshi does not explicitly address these scenarios, potentially leading to different outcomes in the event of a disrupted match.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation or abandonment when trading on these markets. Polymarket offers some protection against this risk for the Luxembourg win market, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If Luxembourg wins, the market resolves to 'Yes'. If the game is canceled or abandoned, the Luxembourg win market resolves to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'. Resolution source is UEFA Nations League, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore.
  • Kalshi: If Luxembourg wins, Estonia wins, or the game ends in a tie, the market resolves to 'Yes'. No explicit provisions for cancellation or abandonment are stated. Resolution source is UEFA Nations League.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Luxembourg and Estonia, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Luxembourg vs Estonia UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for November 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Luxembourg, Estonia, or Tie markets occurs only if the respective team wins or the match ends level within regular time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the UEFA or any governing body associated with the match.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Luxembourg vs. Estonia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, combining insights from different traders and markets. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities based on trading activity, offering a real-time assessment of who is favored to win this contest. It’s a dynamic reflection of collective intelligence regarding the match’s potential results.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient and reflecting a broader range of information. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to hedge their bets and express nuanced opinions, which isn't always possible with standard sportsbook wagers.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Trading fees, market-specific rules, and the overall liquidity on each platform also contribute to price discrepancies. Additionally, information flow and news coverage can impact traders on one platform more quickly than another. These factors combine to create distinct price signals, even for the same underlying event, the Luxembourg vs. Estonia match.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Luxembourg vs. Estonia match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The winning outcome in this market will correspond to the actual result of the game, providing a clear and objective determination of the market’s resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand how this market will settle.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Luxembourg or Estonia would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that could affect the match’s conditions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment or large-volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could drive price movements, reflecting changes in perceived probabilities.