TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between Luxembourg and Bulgaria. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match exceeds that threshold. The outcomes reflect the collective scoring performance of both teams within regular time.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Luxembourg vs Bulgaria UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 6, 2026, counting only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout results are excluded from all calculations. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals), and resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed that threshold. All markets are independent assessments of the match's scoring volume, with each threshold providing a progressively stricter condition for a 'Yes' outcome. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Luxembourg vs Bulgaria match, as officially recorded by the governing football association, will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered in determining the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Luxembourg or Bulgaria would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also shift the market. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.