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$1,879,276,037

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Luxembourg vs Bulgaria: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?

Volume:
$27,356

Bulgaria wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Bulgaria wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 4:43 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bulgaria wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,977
N/A
N/A
$3,474
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bulgaria wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,760
N/A
N/A
$7,792
Settled
No
kalshi

Luxembourg wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,098
N/A
N/A
$5,045
Settled
No
kalshi

Luxembourg wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,953
N/A
N/A
$4,353
Settled
No
kalshi

Bulgaria wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,568
N/A
N/A
$1,568
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Luxembourg and Bulgaria, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It reflects how analysts and fans might assess the relative strength and performance of the two national teams in a competitive fixture. The event considers different thresholds for victory, providing multiple perspectives on what constitutes a decisive win.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various victory margins in the Luxembourg vs Bulgaria UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Luxembourg winning by more than 2.5 goals, Luxembourg winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bulgaria winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Bulgaria winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the respective condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and the event operator emphasizes that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities. Trademarks and branding remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Luxembourg vs Bulgaria match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, the volume is $22,647 and the total volume for this market is $27,356. This allows traders to see how the market is reacting to news and information about the teams and the upcoming game. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the spread will ultimately land.

Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the spread and trading accordingly. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract representing a specific spread.

This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Luxembourg vs Bulgaria match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the spread, based on the final score difference between the two teams. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the outcome of this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 7, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the game location could also play a role. Furthermore, general news about team performance, coaching changes, or even public perception of each team’s chances could impact trading activity and move the market price. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.