TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a UEFA Nations League match between Luxembourg and Bulgaria. The market considers goals scored only in the second half (including stoppage time) to determine the winner, with a 'Draw' option if both teams score the same number of goals. Cancellation or postponement rules are also defined.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Luxembourg and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Luxembourg" if Luxembourg score more goals than Bulgaria in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Luxembourg and Bulgaria score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria score more goals than Luxembourg in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Luxembourg and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Luxembourg" if Luxembourg score more goals than Bulgaria in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Luxembourg and Bulgaria score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria score more goals than Luxembourg in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a different type of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of participants who have ‘skin in the game’. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there’s significant public information available. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes, and arbitrage opportunities can sometimes exist between the two. Examining both sources provides a more complete picture.