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Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?

Volume:
$414

Bulgaria

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 6:56 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bulgaria

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BUL

View
40%
Yes 41¢No 61¢
—
$10,296
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Neither

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$3
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

LUX

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$3
$204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Luxembourg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Luxembourg and Bulgaria. The market resolves based on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a 'Neither' option if no goal is scored during that period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, focusing on the first goal scored within the standard 90-minute match duration plus stoppage time, with clear fallback procedures for data sourcing.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If no team scores within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponement extends the market until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation of the game with no makeup game results in a 'Neither' resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not affect the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official result is available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion, with the data sourcing fallback procedure applied if necessary.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Luxembourg and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Luxembourg" if Luxembourg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Luxembourg and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Luxembourg" if Luxembourg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks predictions on which team will score the first goal in the Luxembourg versus Bulgaria match. Currently, Polymarket currently favors "Neither team to score first?" at 97 percent, while Predict does not have a leading market. The overall volume across both platforms is $414, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view on the probability of each outcome, aggregating data from multiple sources to provide a comprehensive look at the expectations surrounding the first goalscorer in this upcoming soccer match. The dashboard provides a unique perspective on the Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria first goal market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by users incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and statistics, this market can rapidly adjust based on new information and collective insight, potentially identifying mispriced opportunities. It is often observed that prediction markets are more efficient at incorporating new information.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can occur due to several factors. Each platform attracts different user bases with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with low volume on one platform may be more susceptible to price swings based on a few large trades. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders set the odds by buying and selling – can differ between Polymarket and Predict, resulting in distinct price levels for the Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria first goal market. These variations are normal and reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets.