TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:45 AM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a match where the total number of goals scored determines the outcome. Betters predict whether the combined goals will exceed various thresholds. The result hinges purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Luton vs Leicester professional EFL League One soccer game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty goals are excluded. A market resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, such as team statistics and injuries. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of many individuals trading contracts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of how people assess probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to news or changing sentiment, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Luton versus Leicester match. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the total number of goals scored in the Luton versus Leicester match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual total goals scored, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Luton or Leicester would likely cause significant price movements. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-game analysis from respected football commentators could also shift the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades from individual participants on Kalshi could temporarily influence prices, creating opportunities for informed traders.