TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers the EFL League One clash between Luton and Doncaster, determining if both teams score during the normal 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome is decided exclusively by whether each side nets at least one goal before extra time or penalties.
If Luton and Doncaster both score a goal in the Luton vs Doncaster EFL League One match originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who may have biases or differing information. This market, however, allows anyone to participate and express their belief about the likelihood of both teams scoring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert opinions, the prediction market price evolves as more people trade, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the event's probability. It’s important to compare both to inform your own decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of each contract reflects the market's current belief about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts based on supply and demand. If many traders believe both teams will score, the 'Yes' contract price will increase, and the 'No' contract price will decrease, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Luton and Doncaster score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle based on whether both teams scoring occurred, with 'Yes' contracts paying out if both teams score and 'No' contracts paying out if either team fails to score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Luton or Doncaster would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, might also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any late-breaking news about team tactics or starting lineups could move this market as traders react to the new information.