TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Luton and Doncaster, focusing on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market offers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the game ends in a tie. The event is part of the EFL League One schedule for October 27, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Luton vs Doncaster EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Luton's market occurs if Luton secures a victory under these conditions. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Doncaster applies if Doncaster wins. If the match concludes with an equal scoreline at the end of regulation time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant difference exists, it may indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that they have access to information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. This can be a useful signal for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price represents the aggregated assessment of all participants, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast for the Luton vs Doncaster match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luton vs Doncaster match, as determined by the governing sports organization. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, can influence trading activity. Even weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are predicted, could alter the market as they affect playing conditions and potential outcomes for the Luton vs Doncaster match.