TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Lunds and Trollhattans, focusing on determining whether Lunds wins, Trollhattans wins, or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Market resolution accounts for potential game cancellations or rescheduling, ensuring fair pricing if necessary.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Lunds vs Trollhattans professional Ettan soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible results: Lunds win, Trollhattans win, or a tie. If the game concludes with a win for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result after regular time including stoppage minutes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts than traditional betting odds. However, sportsbook odds can offer a useful comparison point, especially before significant trading volume builds in this market. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that aims to accurately reflect the true probability of each result.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Swedish hockey match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the definitive result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or coaching changes could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player availability would also be impactful. Furthermore, major upsets in other related hockey games could influence perceptions of team strength and affect trading volume. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, could also play a role in driving price movements in this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026.