TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Luis Santana" if Luis Santana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dzmitry Asanau, scheduled for October 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Dzmitry Asanau" if Dzmitry Asanau is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond October 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from governing body.
This market will resolve to "Luis Santana" if Luis Santana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dzmitry Asanau, scheduled for October 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Dzmitry Asanau" if Dzmitry Asanau is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond October 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from governing body.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Santana vs. Asanau fight. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic probability assessment. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds adjust in real-time as new information becomes available and traders update their views.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santana vs. Asanau fight as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome – a win for Santana or a win for Asanau – is the correct one, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 9, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also have an impact. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sources like sports news and analysis, may cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, leading to price movements in this market.