TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional boxing match between Luis Santana and Dzmitry Asanau, focusing on which fighter achieves a victory. The contest is set for October 8, 2026, and its result will determine the market's resolution. If the bout is rescheduled, the market will adjust accordingly to reflect the new date.
If Luis Santana wins the Luis Santana vs Dzmitry Asanau boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dzmitry Asanau wins the Luis Santana vs Dzmitry Asanau boxing match originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, and can sometimes offer different probabilities than those seen at sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges, as this market reacts to insights that aren’t yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Santana vs Asanau fight, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome is valid. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even shifts in public perception could lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about the fight's venue or rules could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts, pre-fight press conferences, and even social media sentiment can all contribute to shifts in the market's implied probabilities as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.