TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lugano vs Kauno: Spread
kalshi

Lugano vs Kauno: Spread

Oct 29, 2026, 4:07 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$200
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$200
0%

Kauno wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Kauno wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:22h:37m

Kauno wins by more than 2.5 goals?

1%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 1¢ buys you 10,000 shares | Odds: 1% Total Payout: $10,000 | Net Profit: $9,900 Multiplier: 100.00x | ROI: 9,900% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kauno wins by more than 2.5 goals

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
2d 22h 37m
Active
kalshi

Lugano wins by more than 2.5 goals

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 22h 37m
Active
kalshi

Lugano wins by more than 1.5 goals

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 22h 37m
Active
kalshi

Kauno wins by more than 1.5 goals

N/A
N/A
21¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 22h 37m
Active
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Lugano and Kauno, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event consists of four distinct outcome markets that resolve based on the goal differential of the Lugano vs Kauno professional Conference League soccer game scheduled for November 5, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for victory: Lugano winning by more than 2.5 goals, Lugano winning by more than 1.5 goals, Kauno winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Kauno winning by more than 2.5 goals. All markets resolve solely based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout results. The outcome is determined exclusively by the margin of victory, meaning that if a team meets or exceeds the required goal differential specified in any one market, that particular market resolves to 'Yes.' Importantly, Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names referenced belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Lugano vs Kauno match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You'll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the outcome, allowing you to see shifts in sentiment over time. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $0, and the total volume traded on this market is $200. This information helps traders understand market activity and potential opportunities related to this specific sporting event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Lugano vs Kauno match, specifically the spread as determined by official game statistics. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the definitive result to understand the outcome of this market.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors affecting game play could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from individual participants or institutions could cause noticeable price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Lugano vs Kauno match is crucial for understanding potential market movements.