TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda?

Volume:
$9,845

Lugano wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Lugano wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 2:46 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lugano wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,669
N/A
N/A
$3,375
Settled
No
kalshi

Lugano wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,413
N/A
N/A
$3,043
Settled
No
kalshi

Crvena Zvezda wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,738
N/A
N/A
$1,713
Settled
No
kalshi

Crvena Zvezda wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,024
N/A
N/A
$897
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for a soccer match between Lugano and Crvena Zvezda. It evaluates how decisively each team might win, focusing on goal differences beyond specific thresholds. The event reflects betting interest in the potential performance gap between the two teams during the match.

Kalshi

The event comprises four distinct outcome markets centered on the goal differential in the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda UEFA Conference League match scheduled for October 15, 2026. All resolutions occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The first market resolves to 'Yes' if Lugano wins by more than 2.5 goals. The second resolves to 'Yes' if Lugano wins by more than 1.5 goals. The third resolves to 'Yes' if Crvena Zvezda wins by more than 1.5 goals. The fourth resolves to 'Yes' if Crvena Zvezda wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule operates independently, allowing for multiple markets to resolve simultaneously depending on the final score. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes in this market. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how traders’ expectations have shifted over time. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $9,845, and the total volume traded to date, which is $9,845. This provides insight into the level of interest and activity surrounding the event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges closer to the event date.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The market will close prior to the event’s completion to allow for a clear determination of the result.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in the market.