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Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa: Round of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa?

Volume:
$48,120

Lucia Szabova to win in Round 3

 - Kalshi

Lucia Szabova to win in Round 3 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 5:37 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lucia Szabova to win in Round 3

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,209
N/A
N/A
$16,431
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lucia Szabova to win in Round 2

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,765
N/A
N/A
$9,727
Settled
No
kalshi

Lucia Szabova to win in Round 1

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,669
N/A
N/A
$6,480
Settled
No
kalshi

Tainara Lisboa to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,394
N/A
N/A
$3,158
Settled
No
kalshi

Tainara Lisboa to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,117
N/A
N/A
$3,007
Settled
No
kalshi

Tainara Lisboa to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,393
N/A
N/A
$1,393
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$572
N/A
N/A
$360
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the specific round in which either Lucia Szabova or Tainara Lisboa secures a decisive victory in their scheduled UFC Fight Night bout. The outcome depends on whether the win occurs through immediate stoppage methods or if the fight concludes via decision, draw, or no contest across the full duration.

Kalshi

The event determines the round in which either Lucia Szabova or Tainara Lisboa achieves a victory by knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification during their UFC Fight Night contest scheduled for October 31, 2026. If either fighter wins via these immediate stoppage methods in Round 1, Round 2, or Round 3, the corresponding market resolves accordingly. Should the fight conclude by decision, draw, or no contest—including technical decisions—the 'Decision / Draw / No Contest' market resolves to Yes, and no round-specific victory is credited. The rules clarify that technical decisions are treated as decisions and do not count toward a round win, ensuring clear resolution based on the manner and timing of the outcome within the three-round fight structure.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, though sportsbooks can sometimes offer more competitive pricing on popular outcomes. This market provides a different perspective on the potential result.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing the possible outcomes of the Szabova vs. Lisboa fight. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe an outcome will happen, or sell 'no' contracts if they believe it won't. As more trades occur, the prices adjust to reflect the changing consensus. The current market prices represent the aggregated predictions of all traders on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Szabova vs. Lisboa fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The market will determine which fighter won the round of victory. No further details regarding the specific resolution process are available at this time, beyond verification against credible public sources. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event's conclusion and subsequent market settlement.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also attract attention and impact trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight predictions could sway the market. Public perception and social media buzz surrounding the fighters' preparation and potential strategies could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.