TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a scheduled UFC fight between Lucia Szabova and Tainara Lisboa set for October 31, 2026. It focuses on how quickly the fight concludes, specifically whether it ends before certain rounds. The result depends entirely on the actual duration of the bout during the live event.
The market resolves based on the round in which the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa UFC fight concludes. If the fight ends before round 2, the first market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends before round 3—but not before round 2—the second market resolves to Yes. Both markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The outcome hinges solely on the actual progression of the fight on October 31, 2026, with no additional conditions or modifiers applied.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes of the Szabova vs Lisboa fight. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the event’s outcome is already ‘priced in’ by the market, and any significant shifts in price suggest changing expectations among traders. The 24-hour volume of $403 demonstrates the level of activity and interest in this matchup.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Szabova vs Lisboa fight, specifically whether the fight ends before round 3. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and fulfill contract obligations. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely have a significant impact. Official weigh-in results, pre-fight interviews revealing strategy, or even shifts in public sentiment expressed on social media could all contribute to changes in the odds. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how traders are reacting to new information regarding the Szabova vs Lisboa fight.