TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks how Lucia Szabova and Tainara Lisboa will conclude their UFC Fight Night bout. It covers all possible outcomes, including decisive strikes, tactical submissions, strategic decisions by judges, or an unexpected draw or no contest scenario.
The market resolves to Yes if the fight ends via any official result: knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), disqualification (DQ), submission, decision, or draw/no contest. These outcomes encompass every manner in which the contest between Lucia Szabova and Tainara Lisboa could officially conclude during the UFC Fight Night event scheduled for October 31, 2026. Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions about the likely finish of the Szabova vs. Lisboa fight.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the officially recorded method of finish for the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa fight. The official result, as determined by the relevant sanctioning body, will be used to determine which outcome wins. This includes finishes by knockout, technical knockout, decision, submission, or disqualification, with the specific outcome dictating the winning contract in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift perceptions of each fighter’s chances. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or rule modifications could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by social media or expert analysis, could drive trading volume and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the expected outcome.