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$1,884,820,873

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Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa: Method of Finish
kalshi

What is the result of Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa?

Volume:
$29,652

KO/TKO/DQ

 - Kalshi

KO/TKO/DQ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 5:37 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KO/TKO/DQ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,547
N/A
N/A
$12,638
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Submission

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,101
N/A
N/A
$3,187
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,723
N/A
N/A
$1,762
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw/No Contest

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
$180
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market tracks how Lucia Szabova and Tainara Lisboa will conclude their UFC Fight Night bout. It covers all possible outcomes, including decisive strikes, tactical submissions, strategic decisions by judges, or an unexpected draw or no contest scenario.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the fight ends via any official result: knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), disqualification (DQ), submission, decision, or draw/no contest. These outcomes encompass every manner in which the contest between Lucia Szabova and Tainara Lisboa could officially conclude during the UFC Fight Night event scheduled for October 31, 2026. Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis and team/fighter statistics, but this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information aggregation and the incentives of participants in each venue. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions about the likely finish of the Szabova vs. Lisboa fight.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the officially recorded method of finish for the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa fight. The official result, as determined by the relevant sanctioning body, will be used to determine which outcome wins. This includes finishes by knockout, technical knockout, decision, submission, or disqualification, with the specific outcome dictating the winning contract in this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift perceptions of each fighter’s chances. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or rule modifications could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by social media or expert analysis, could drive trading volume and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the expected outcome.