TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers around the UFC Fight Night bout between Lucia Szabova and Tainara Lisboa on October 31, 2026, specifically whether the fight lasts all scheduled rounds without being stopped early.
If the Lucia Szabova vs. Tainara Lisboa UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 goes the distance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to openly buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the price in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a different value. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the official result of the Lucia Szabova versus Tainara Lisboa fight is declared as going the distance – meaning the fight completes all scheduled rounds without a knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, or no contest. The official decision from the sanctioning body will be the determining factor for settlement, and will be used to verify the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause movement. Significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also play a role. Finally, as the fight draws closer, any information about betting trends from traditional sportsbooks might influence traders on Kalshi.