TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Lucena and Majadahonda in the first round of the Copa del Rey, a prestigious Spanish football tournament. The result determines which team progresses to the next stage of the competition. The contest reflects the competitive balance and performance of both clubs on the given matchday.
If Lucena advance past Majadahonda in the Lucena vs Majadahonda soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Majadahonda advance past Lucena in the Lucena vs Majadahonda soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect a collective assessment. The current price indicates the implied probability of each result, allowing traders to express their views and potentially profit from correctly anticipating the outcome of the Lucena vs Majadahonda match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lucena vs Majadahonda match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will be determined by the rules of the competition, and the platform will verify the result against these established standards. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected tactical shifts could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions, especially if they are expected to affect the playing field, are also potential catalysts. Additionally, public sentiment and expert analysis, if they shift dramatically, could drive changes in trading volume and price. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly influence this market.