TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 9:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Warona Mdlulwa and Kristina Novak in the Luanda, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Warona Mdlulwa' if Warona Mdlulwa advances against Kristina Novak. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Novak' if Kristina Novak advances against Warona Mdlulwa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Warona Mdlulwa and Kristina Novak in the Luanda, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Warona Mdlulwa' if Warona Mdlulwa advances against Kristina Novak. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Novak' if Kristina Novak advances against Warona Mdlulwa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by informed individuals, may reveal insights that differ from those found at sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially for events with subjective elements or limited historical data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Warona Mdlulwa versus Kristina Novak match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could lead to changes in trading behavior. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.