TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks the total receiving yards achieved by each team in a college football game between LSU and Kentucky. Participants can bet on whether specific teams will surpass various yardage thresholds during the match. The outcome depends solely on the official game statistics, with certain conditions applied to postponed games.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards recorded by either LSU or Kentucky in the college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Receiving yards from both regular time and the first or second overtime periods count toward the total, but successful 2-point conversions—whether in regular time or overtime—do not contribute. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover various threshold values for each team, with each threshold representing a separate condition that resolves to 'Yes' if the team's receiving yards meet or exceed that threshold, and 'No' otherwise.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional sportsbooks, as they incorporate a wider range of information and are incentivized to be correct. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final receiving yards total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence participants have in their predictions. A higher volume generally suggests greater agreement and liquidity, while price fluctuations reveal shifts in sentiment based on new information or analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards total for both the LSU and Kentucky teams will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined receiving yards achieved during the game. It's important to note that any adjustments or corrections to official statistics after the game will be reflected in the final resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the most accurate and up-to-date information regarding the game's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key wide receivers or quarterbacks on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also impact the market. News regarding coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive schemes might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about team morale or player availability could contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.