TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are scored by players catching passes in an upcoming college football game. The outcomes depend on whether specific teams reach certain thresholds of receiving touchdowns during the match.
These markets resolve based on the total number of receiving touchdowns scored by either LSU or Kentucky in their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A receiving touchdown is counted when a player catches a forward pass and scores in the end zone, including those occurring in overtime periods. Touchdowns resulting from fumble recoveries by another player do not count, unless the receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, it proceeds normally; if it does not start within that window, the markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a specific threshold of receiving touchdowns for either team.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team biases into their odds, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of touchdowns being scored. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as public sentiment changes. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the expected outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Currently, the price reflects the aggregated predictions of those trading on the platform regarding which teams are likely to score touchdowns. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether or not each team scores at least one touchdown during the LSU vs Kentucky game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the outcome, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. News regarding key player injuries on either the LSU or Kentucky teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also influence trading activity and contract prices.