TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether LSU will win their game against Kentucky by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives an 83.0% probability to LSU winning by over 1.5 points. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the LSU vs Kentucky college football game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, as reported by the game’s final score. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the final result and will be settled by October 11, 2026, representing the end of the event window.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the LSU vs Kentucky college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For markets where LSU must win by a specified margin, if LSU wins by more points than the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, for markets where Kentucky must win by a specified margin, if Kentucky wins by more points than the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market's price is determined by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As new information emerges, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, this market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, and these can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the LSU-Kentucky game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the most likely outcome. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, incorporating various factors influencing the game's result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the LSU versus Kentucky game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Key player injuries on either the LSU or Kentucky teams would likely cause substantial price movement. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the spread. Significant news regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even public betting patterns could also shift the price. Any developments that alter perceptions of each team’s chances of winning will be reflected in trading activity within this market.