TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football matchup, focusing solely on the scoring activity during that specific period. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that participants can speculate on before the game concludes.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the LSU vs Kentucky college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For all markets, only points scored in the 4th quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of individuals betting with their own capital. If a significant number of people believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will diverge accordingly. It's common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering a potentially valuable comparison for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning buyers and sellers set the price based on their expectations. Contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the probability of the 'yes' outcome (the total points scored in the 4th quarter will be over the specified number). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates to reflect the aggregated view of the crowd. The current price indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of that outcome happening.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the LSU vs Kentucky game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be compared to the market's threshold to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is triggered. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Kentucky would likely cause movement, as would significant changes in weather forecasts. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact predictions. Furthermore, as the game progresses and early scoring trends emerge, the market will react dynamically to the unfolding events, potentially leading to substantial price swings.