TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:48 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of an upcoming college football game between LSU and Kentucky. Outcomes depend solely on the scoring margin during that specific quarter, ignoring overall game results.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of play in the LSU vs Kentucky college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team's victory margin exceeds the designated point threshold for that market during this quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price. No affiliation exists between the platform and the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. As a result, you may see discrepancies between the two. Polls and expert analyses regarding the LSU-Kentucky game can also offer a contrasting viewpoint, providing a broader understanding of expectations surrounding the 3rd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, effectively creating a real-time forecast of the spread. Traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the final spread and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final 3rd quarter spread between LSU and Kentucky, as reported by an official source, will determine whether contracts predicting an outcome above or below the final spread settle at a profit or loss for traders. The outcome will be based on the official spread as determined at the conclusion of the 3rd quarter of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the LSU or Kentucky teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the perceived strength of either team based on recent performance or coaching decisions could also shift the market. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even significant shifts in public sentiment as reflected in polls and analyses, could all contribute to changes in the price of contracts representing predictions on the LSU-Kentucky 3rd quarter spread.