TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points LSU and Kentucky will score together in the first quarter of their college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome. The markets resolve based on the actual points scored in that specific quarter, regardless of the final game result.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of play in the LSU vs Kentucky college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points); if the combined first-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.' Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect resolution, which remains based on the official final result of the played game. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total score in the first quarter of the LSU vs Kentucky game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that score occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the first quarter of the LSU vs Kentucky game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams in the first quarter will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total score matches the contract price, and proportionally less for other outcomes. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the contract’s value at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Kentucky would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or media coverage, can all contribute to changes in the price of contracts in this market.