TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a college football matchup, focusing specifically on how many touchdowns are scored through receptions rather than runs or other plays. It examines different thresholds of success for each team, providing insight into offensive strategies and player execution.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team during the LSU vs Auburn college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as one where the player who catches the pass crosses into the end zone with the ball. Touchdowns resulting from another player recovering a fumble by the intended receiver do not count, unless the receiver recovers their own fumble and scores. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, aiming to attract balanced betting action. This market, however, allows anyone to trade contracts representing their belief about the outcome. As more people participate, the prices tend to converge towards what many consider the true probability. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially as they get closer to the event date, incorporating a wider range of information than traditional sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, giving you an idea of how easily you can enter or exit a position. The goal is to 'buy low, sell high' – predicting correctly and capitalizing on shifts in market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of receiving touchdowns scored by players on each team in the LSU vs. Auburn football game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either LSU or Auburn would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts – particularly conditions that favor a passing or running game – could also shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups might also lead to price movements. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could impact trading activity and ultimately the prices within this market.