TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether LSU will win their college football game against Auburn by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to LSU winning by over 2.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the LSU vs Auburn college football game originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, as reported by the final score of the game. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 24, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the LSU vs Auburn college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For markets specifying a point differential, if the designated team wins by more than the stated margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that market participants have access to, or place more weight on, information not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s a useful comparison point for assessing the overall expectations surrounding the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with buyers driving the price up and sellers driving it down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the likelihood of the actual spread falling within that range. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that spread will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the LSU versus Auburn game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for payouts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to game day. News regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Auburn would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by actual trading activity. Any significant development affecting the perceived strength of either team has the potential to move the spread and alter contract prices.