TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no team manages to score a touchdown at all during the entire match, including any overtime periods.
The event determines the outcome based on which team scores the first touchdown in the LSU vs Auburn college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, or if no team scores a touchdown. All types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams—count towards the resolution. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, it still counts for that team. Should neither team score a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime, the 'No team' outcome will resolve positively. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, as traders could potentially profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—in this case, either LSU or Auburn scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of which team is favored to score first. The market efficiently aggregates diverse perspectives into a single, real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first touchdown in the LSU versus Auburn game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective determination of which team reached the endzone first. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official confirmation of the scoring plays.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Auburn would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to the evolving narrative surrounding the game.