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419,363
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Closed: Oct 24, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football matchup between LSU and Auburn. It focuses solely on the performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on in-game momentum and strategy in the closing stages of play.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the fourth quarter of the LSU vs Auburn college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. If Auburn scores more points in the fourth quarter, the Auburn market resolves to Yes. If LSU scores more points in the fourth quarter, the LSU market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the fourth quarter, the Tie market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation play are considered. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may adjust slower to breaking news or changing public sentiment. This market, driven by active traders, tends to incorporate new information more rapidly. While sportsbooks may offer a wider range of betting options, prediction markets like this one focus on a specific outcome, allowing for a more concentrated and potentially more accurate assessment of probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event draws nearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all traders on the platform regarding which team will win the fourth quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading at the end of the fourth quarter of the LSU versus Auburn football game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports news source, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Auburn would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and, consequently, the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters, including momentum swings or strategic adjustments, could lead to traders reassessing their probabilities. Finally, any significant public statements from coaches or players could also contribute to movement in this market before resolution.