TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty for forecasting game dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the LSU vs Auburn college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points); if the actual second-quarter total exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled as follows: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, it remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. No points from other quarters or game phases count toward any market outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or even weather conditions. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news that impacts the game. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 2nd quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the total will be higher, the price of the 'Over' contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time probability assessment of the game’s potential scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 2nd quarter between LSU and Auburn will be used to determine whether the total points scored fall above or below the threshold established by the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the result. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Auburn would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact scoring expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.