TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between LSU and Auburn specifically within the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the LSU vs Auburn college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or varying levels of information available to each group. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event draws nearer. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades result in financial gain.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread of the LSU versus Auburn football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports organization. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game predictions or analyses; it is solely based on the actual game result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Auburn would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports commentators could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.