TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either LSU or Auburn specifically in the second half of their college football matchup, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the LSU vs Auburn college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For markets where LSU is the favorite, resolution occurs if LSU wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. Conversely, for markets where Auburn is the favorite, resolution occurs if Auburn wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result of that game. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning they are settled equitably rather than strictly according to the stated outcomes. The markets are independent of any broader game result, focusing exclusively on second-half performance.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely result. Differences can emerge due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of available data. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially as new developments occur leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Buyers are essentially betting that the outcome *will* happen, while sellers are betting it *won’t*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the game gets, the more the price will fluctuate as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions based on their analysis of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the second half of the LSU versus Auburn football game will be used to determine whether LSU covered the spread, Auburn covered the spread, or if the result was a push. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Auburn would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could drive trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market.