TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming college football game. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics during the initial 15 minutes of the contest, ignoring the full game outcome. The resolution depends exclusively on which team has the higher point total at the end of the first quarter.
If Auburn wins the 1st quarter of the LSU vs Auburn college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If LSU wins the 1st quarter of the LSU vs Auburn college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the LSU vs Auburn college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the first quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will rise in this market, potentially offering better value than available at a sportsbook. It's a different way to assess probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, LSU winning the first quarter or Auburn winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that team winning. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the first quarter of the LSU versus Auburn football game will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting to determine which outcome satisfies the conditions for payout. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Auburn would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also play a role, though this market represents independent assessment. Finally, any significant line movements at major sportsbooks could prompt traders to adjust their positions in this market.