TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between LSU and Auburn. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as a win.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of play in the LSU vs Auburn college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the first quarter by more than the stated point margin (e.g., LSU by over 10.5 points, Auburn by over 2.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis from a wide range of sources. This can lead to differences compared to sportsbook odds, which are typically set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially emphasize public perception or attempt to balance their liabilities, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. It's common to see this market converge toward a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome – in this case, a range of point spreads for the first quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability that traders assign to that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely spread. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, offering a real-time view of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the LSU versus Auburn football game. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the first quarter spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the LSU or Auburn teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.