TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball game between LSU Tigers and Kentucky Wildcats scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET at Kentucky. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (multiple thresholds), and over/under totals (two thresholds).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline is a binary confirmation market (Yes if either team wins), while Polymarket moneyline is a categorical winner-selection market (LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats). Spread and total markets are logically consistent across both platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket moneylines are equivalent. Kalshi's market only confirms the game occurred with a winner; it cannot be used to bet on a specific team. Use Polymarket for directional team bets. Both platforms agree on spread thresholds (8+, 9+, 10+ point margins for Kentucky) and total thresholds (151+, 152+ combined points), with unified postponement and cancellation rules (50-50 if canceled, remains open if postponed).Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline is a binary confirmation market. Both LSU win and Kentucky win resolve to Yes. This is a meta-market confirming the game has a winner, not a team-selection market. Quote: 'If LSU wins the LSU at Kentucky men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline is a categorical winner-selection market. LSU win resolves to LSU Tigers; Kentucky win resolves to Kentucky Wildcats. This is a standard directional team bet. Quote: 'If the LSU Tigers win, the market will resolve to "LSU Tigers". If the Kentucky Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Kentucky Wildcats".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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