TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:09 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a professional league match where a clear winner is determined within the standard playing time, including any added stoppage minutes.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team market if that team wins the match within 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even external factors influencing the game. If you find a significant difference, it might indicate an opportunity for value, as the market could be mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the L.R. Vicenza vs Pisa match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available knowledge. The goal is for the market price to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the L.R. Vicenza vs Pisa match, as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either L.R. Vicenza or Pisa would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also influence trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions or coaching changes could play a role. Major announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or broadcast details, might also cause movement. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.