TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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LPGA: Maybank Championship First Round Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead the LPGA Maybank Championship first round?

Volume:
$10,840

Pauline Roussin-Bouchard

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 8:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pauline Roussin-Bouchard

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,489
N/A
N/A
$1,222
1w 4d 22h
Yes
polymarket

Pauline Roussin-Bouchard

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Na Rin An

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,038
N/A
N/A
$1,617
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Na-Rin An

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Miyu Yamashita

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$846
N/A
N/A
$794
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Miyu Yamashita

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ruoning Yin

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
$254
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Ruoning Yin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Liyana Durisic

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$196
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Liyana Durisic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hye Jin Choi

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
$193
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Hye-Jin Choi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yuri Yoshida

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
$191
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Yuri Yoshida

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sophia Schubert

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$186
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Sophia Schubert

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Charley Hull

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
$186
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Charley Hull

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlota Ciganda

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
$186
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Carlota Ciganda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jodi Ewart Shadoff

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
$186
1w 4d 22h
No
kalshi

Perrine Delacour

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
$186
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Perrine Delacour

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hae-Ran Ryu

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
$162
1w 4d 22h
No
polymarket

Hae-Ran Ryu

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 177

Description

This prediction market asks forecasters to predict which LPGA golfer will have the lowest score after the first round of the 2026 Maybank Championship. The markets focus on individual player performance, with resolution based on the official tournament results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant SKU risk exists due to Polymarket's inclusion of numerous 'Player X' options and a much larger player pool than Kalshi.Hero tip: Prioritize trading on players listed on both platforms to avoid resolution issues related to Polymarket's generic player designations. Be cautious of the 'Other' resolution option on Polymarket in case of cancellation or postponement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets on 101 players, including generic 'Player X' options. Resolves to 'Other' if the tournament is cancelled or postponed. "If the 2026 Maybank Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 15, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other"."
  • Kalshi: Offers markets on 78 specific players. Resolves to 'Yes' if the named player is the Round 1 leader. "If [Player Name] is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Maybank Championship, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Maybank Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Maybank Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 15, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to a specific golfer and resolves to 'Yes' if that golfer is the sole leader at the end of Round 1 of the 2026 Maybank Championship. If multiple golfers are tied for the lead, 'Yes' positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied participants (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions pay the complement of that payout (1 minus the 'Yes' payout). The markets are independent, meaning the resolution for each golfer is determined solely by their own performance relative to the field at the end of Round 1, with no additional dependencies between markets. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the PGA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different golfers leading after the first round of the Maybank Championship. Currently, Polymarket shows a strong consensus with a chance percentage of 99 for Will Achiraya Sriwong to lead, while Kalshi has not yet established a clear frontrunner. The total volume across both platforms is $10,840, with $4,672 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to compare views on the Maybank Championship leader market and see how opinions evolve as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual forecasts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Often, the implied probabilities from this market and sportsbook odds will align, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Maybank Championship leader market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders can buy and sell contracts—differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, contributing to potential price discrepancies. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for traders.