TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026 at 10:59PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026 at 10:59PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a particular golfer will be the third-round leader. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a golfer, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the golfer leading after the completion of the third round of the Buick LPGA Shanghai tournament will determine the winning outcome. The official LPGA leaderboard will serve as the basis for verifying the final standings. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the shares of the winning golfer at the time of resolution. The market will close prior to the final round to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding a golfer’s health, form, or playing conditions could shift the odds. For example, a report of an injury to a leading contender would likely decrease their share price. Weather forecasts impacting play, or changes in the course setup, could also introduce volatility. Strong performance in the first two rounds of the tournament will undoubtedly move the market, as will any significant shifts in expert analysis or public sentiment regarding the players’ chances of success. Unexpected withdrawals would also have a notable impact.