TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 2:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Ladies Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW Ladies Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 8, 2026 at 10:59PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 BMW Ladies Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 BMW Ladies Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 8, 2026 at 10:59PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular golfer being the second-round leader. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, reflecting the collective expectation. Higher demand for shares in a golfer will drive up the price, indicating increased confidence in their chances, while selling pressure will lower the price. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of each player's prospects.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official leaderboard for the second round of the BMW Ladies Championship is finalized and verifiable from credible public reporting. The golfer at the top of the leaderboard at the end of the second round will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available, authoritative sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Any ties will be handled according to the platform's standard rules, which are available for review on Polymarket.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding a golfer's health or form, such as a reported injury or a strong performance in a practice round, could shift the odds. Weather conditions during the second round are also a major catalyst, as they can favor certain players or playing styles. Unexpected leaderboard changes in the first round could also lead to substantial price movements. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert opinions could influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.