TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:17h:59m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Loyola Marymount Lions and Utah State Aggies, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for cancellation or abandonment.
In the upcoming CWBB game between Loyola Marymount Lions and Utah State Aggies, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the women’s college basketball game between Loyola Marymount and Utah State, scheduled for November 6, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within that 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of which team’s market is considered. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when information is dispersed among many individuals. However, sportsbook odds are often more readily available and may offer different types of wagers. Both provide valuable insights, but this market represents a unique perspective based on incentivized forecasting.
Prices for the LMU vs. Utah State game may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which influences their trading decisions. Additionally, the liquidity and trading volume can differ significantly between the two venues, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Utah State Aggies (W) at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Loyola Marymount wins at 80.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the LMU vs. Utah State game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the winning team, as determined by the official results. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how this market will be finalized.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 7, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant shifts in public perception could all impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect game performance could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the game approaches.