TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Love's RV Stop 225 Winner
kalshi

Who will win the Love's RV Stop 225?

Volume:
$496,783

Sammy Smith

 - Kalshi

Sammy Smith - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 11:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sammy Smith

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,093
N/A
N/A
$24,796
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Layne Riggs

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,504
N/A
N/A
$30,375
Settled
No
kalshi

Corey Heim

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,263
N/A
N/A
$26,030
Settled
No
kalshi

Grant Enfinger

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,118
N/A
N/A
$23,438
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleetus McFarland

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,075
N/A
N/A
$33,806
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Majeski

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,687
N/A
N/A
$20,380
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaden Honeycutt

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,703
N/A
N/A
$23,024
Settled
No
kalshi

Tony Stewart

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,752
N/A
N/A
$26,590
Settled
No
kalshi

Giovanni Ruggiero

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,492
N/A
N/A
$17,406
Settled
No
kalshi

Chandler Smith

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,422
N/A
N/A
$14,196
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Eckes

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,166
N/A
N/A
$16,192
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Haley

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,872
N/A
N/A
$12,564
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Rhodes

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,798
N/A
N/A
$13,913
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Green

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,691
N/A
N/A
$12,769
Settled
No
kalshi

Tanner Gray

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,681
N/A
N/A
$11,515
Settled
No
kalshi

Landen Lewis

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,256
N/A
N/A
$7,666
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Hemric

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,560
N/A
N/A
$9,844
Settled
No
kalshi

Brenden Queen

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,880
N/A
N/A
$8,879
Settled
No
kalshi

Corey LaJoie

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,678
N/A
N/A
$9,386
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Ankrum

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,672
N/A
N/A
$7,831
Settled
No
kalshi

Frankie Muniz

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,314
N/A
N/A
$7,654
Settled
No
kalshi

Dawson Sutton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,595
N/A
N/A
$7,063
Settled
No
kalshi

Thomas Annunziata

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,398
N/A
N/A
$6,555
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Garcia

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,737
N/A
N/A
$5,681
Settled
No
kalshi

Cory Roper

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,320
N/A
N/A
$5,320
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Intro

This market tracks whether Sammy Smith will win the Truck Series race at the Love's RV Stop 225. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Truck Series: Sammy Smith wins. The market resolves based on the official finishing order of the race, with resolution determined if Norm Benning finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026. Keep an eye on the race results following the event window, as the market will resolve by the estimated resolution date of 2026-10-24.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if the specified driver finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, at the 2026 Love's RV Stop 225. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. If the race is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the race is canceled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. All determinations are based on final, official race results posted by NASCAR, not provisional standings.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Love's RV Stop 225 market displays the current price of contracts representing each possible outcome. You'll find a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, alongside the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $395,742. The total volume traded on this market is $496,783. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on recent activity and overall interest in the event.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds that are initially set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and liability management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or informed trading.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect changing beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price levels—indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding the event's potential results, and impacts how easily orders can be filled.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the Love's RV Stop 225 race will be used to determine the winning driver. The platform will then verify the results against credible public sources to determine which contract pays out. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding driver performance, team changes, or weather conditions leading up to the race could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about vehicle modifications or driver health would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns or media coverage, can drive price movements. Monitoring these signals closely can help traders anticipate potential changes in the market and adjust their positions accordingly.