TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Louisville and Syracuse. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Louisville vs. Syracuse college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, or if no team scores a touchdown at all. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count towards the outcome, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets resolve to 'Yes' for the respective team if they score the first touchdown, or to 'Yes' for the 'No team' market if neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds often move more quickly in response to breaking news, so comparing the two can provide a comprehensive view of expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—Louisville or Syracuse scoring first—and the price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome occurs, so a price of 60 means a $60 contract payout.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scored the first touchdown in the Louisville vs Syracuse game. The result will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Louisville or Syracuse would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a particular offensive style, could also impact the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, even public perception and betting trends from traditional sportsbooks can influence activity in this market as traders react to new information.