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417,059
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 17, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Louisville and Syracuse. It highlights the importance of late-game performance, where momentum and strategy often decide the outcome of closely contested matches.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points in the fourth quarter of the Louisville versus Syracuse college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. If Syracuse scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'Syracuse' market resolves to Yes. If Louisville scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'Louisville' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the fourth quarter, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the fourth quarter—excluding overtime—are considered for resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Polls and analysts’ predictions may also vary, but this market provides a unique, real-money incentive for participants to express their most accurate beliefs about the outcome of the fourth quarter of the Louisville vs Syracuse game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast for the fourth quarter winner of the Louisville vs Syracuse game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve based on which team is winning at the end of the fourth quarter of the Louisville vs Syracuse game. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning team and therefore the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions after the resolution is finalized.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisville or Syracuse teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters, even if not directly determinative of the fourth quarter winner, could influence predictions. Public perception and any late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in the market price.