TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams in the final quarter of a college football game. Participants assess whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds, reflecting different expectations about the game's intensity in its closing moments.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams specifically during the 4th quarter of the Louisville vs Syracuse college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the total points, ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 27.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the 4th quarter count toward these outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe the actual total will be higher or lower than the sportsbook’s line, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering different value than a traditional wager.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the cost to buy a contract that pays out $1 if the total points scored in the 4th quarter are above the price, and $0 if they are below. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of traders on the platform. As more people trade, the price converges towards what the market believes is the most likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 4th quarter of the Louisville vs Syracuse game will be used to determine whether contracts pay out. If the actual total points scored in the fourth quarter are higher than the final market price on Kalshi, buyers of the contract will receive a payout. Otherwise, the sellers will keep the premium paid by the buyers.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Louisville or Syracuse would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift expectations. Even public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, could influence trading activity and therefore the price. Any significant development impacting the perceived scoring potential of either team could move this market before Oct 18, 2026.