TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:16 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential between Louisville and Syracuse specifically within the third quarter of their college football game. Each outcome represents a different threshold for how many points the winning team must score more than the opponent to settle the market.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Louisville vs Syracuse college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by exceeding the stated point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points, depending on the market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original kickoff time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome than traditional odds, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives and adapt quickly to new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available, making it a responsive indicator of expectations for the Louisville vs Syracuse game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the third quarter of the Louisville vs Syracuse game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The contracts representing the correct spread will settle at 100, while those representing incorrect spreads will settle to zero. This allows traders to profit if their predictions align with the actual game result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisville or Syracuse teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift expectations. Public sentiment, reflected in betting trends and expert analysis, will also play a role in shaping the market's price as the game approaches. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the teams or the game itself could all contribute to price fluctuations.