TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Louisville will win its college football game against Syracuse. Currently, the probability of Louisville winning on Kalshi is 79.0%, while Syracuse winning is at 21.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Louisville vs Syracuse college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on October 17, 2026, as this is the estimated resolution date for the market, reflecting the completion of the game and subsequent determination of the winner.
The market resolves based on the result of the Louisville vs. Syracuse college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Syracuse wins, the Syracuse market resolves to Yes; if Louisville wins, the Louisville market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting the absence of a definitive outcome. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information sources, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions among bettors and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, providing insight into the potential price movement and liquidity available. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Louisville vs Syracuse game, as officially reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning contract and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the game's final score to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from prominent sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, causing prices to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.