TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Louisville and Syracuse. It focuses solely on the performance during the first 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full game. The result depends on who scores more points in that specific segment of the contest.
The market resolves based on which team leads at the end of the first half of the Louisville vs. Syracuse college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Syracuse scores more points in the first half, the 'Syracuse' market resolves to Yes. If Louisville scores more points in the first half, the 'Louisville' market resolves to Yes. If both teams are tied at the end of the first half, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the first half count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result of the first half as played. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents what traders collectively believe will happen. However, differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and analysis factored into each. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially diverging from sportsbook odds before the event begins.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher implied probability of that team winning the first half. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the Louisville vs Syracuse game will be declared the winner of this market. Resolution will be based on official game statistics and results as reported by recognized sports data providers. Traders will be able to view the final result and any relevant documentation on Kalshi following the completion of the first half.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Louisville or Syracuse would likely cause price movement. Game-day reports on team morale, weather conditions, or coaching strategies could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, early performance in the game itself, even during warm-ups, can lead to shifts in the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Unexpected betting patterns or large volume trades could also contribute to price fluctuations.