TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.4b
24H VOL:
$152,239,259
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,540,891,627
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,622,981,384
471,589
Markets across
36,389
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,918
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ole Miss will win their college football game against Louisville by more than 3.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 97.0% probability to Ole Miss winning by over 3.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Louisville vs Ole Miss game originally scheduled for September 6, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve the day after the scheduled kickoff on September 7, 2026, based on the final point differential.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for September 6, 2026. If Ole Miss wins, markets resolve to Yes if the victory margin exceeds the specified points; if Louisville wins, markets resolve to Yes only if Louisville's margin exceeds the listed points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. If a significant number of people believe a particular spread is likely, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from what sportsbooks are offering. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Louisville vs Ole Miss football game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range of contracts offered, and the payout will reflect the price of the contract held at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the game’s final score to understand the settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisville or Ole Miss teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by trading activity rather than opinion. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also contribute to price fluctuations.