TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:23h:09m
$
In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and North Carolina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game. This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and North Carolina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game. This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
If North Carolina wins the Louisville vs North Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville wins the Louisville vs North Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. This can lead to differences, particularly as new information emerges. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making. The current volume of $11 suggests strong interest in this market.
Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi are common and stem from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information. Trading interfaces and fee structures also vary, influencing participation. Furthermore, liquidity can differ; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. The spread of 30.0 reflects these differing perspectives. These discrepancies present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders exploit price differences to profit, ultimately driving prices toward convergence.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Louisville vs. North Carolina game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. The current volume of $11 indicates significant interest in predicting this outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 14, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift expectations. Significant news coverage or public sentiment changes could also impact trading activity. Any updates regarding team performance or player availability will likely be reflected in the odds on both Polymarket and Kalshi. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is interpreting new information and adjusting its predictions.